By Dr. Kariuki Muigua, PhD (Leading Environmental Law Scholar, Policy Advisor, Natural Resources Lawyer and Dispute Resolution Expert from Kenya), Winner of Kenya’s ADR Practitioner of the Year 2021, ADR Publisher of the Year 2021 and CIArb (Kenya) Lifetime Achievement Award 2021.*
According to the current trends, the global number of light-duty cars will roughly double by midcentury, owing to increased prosperity, and demand for freight transportation (road, rail, sea, and air) as well as passenger aviation will also increase. It has been argued that the transport sector has the potential to create an enabling environment for Africa’s economic progress. The downside to this is that in Africa, road transport emissions will continue to rise significantly as governments attempt to improve their road infrastructure networks for commercial activity, meeting the demands of a growing population and a growing middle class. According to studies, mortality rates from outdoor air pollution in Africa have climbed by 57 percent over the last three decades, with pollution from motor vehicles accounting for at least 85 percent of the continent’s vehicle fleet, some of which are antiquated and utilise outdated technologies.
Notably, the Paris Agreement urges countries to increase their mitigation ambition in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) by reviewing and assessing their ambition and developing long-term low-carbon development policies. Climate change mitigation requires a shift in production and consumption patterns in order to embrace more sustainable ways. Notably, transportation is one of the main sectors that plays a critical role in attaining poverty eradication and sustainable development goals, as it is closely linked to and influences the development of other sectors of the economy. It is against this background that this paper discusses the challenges and prospects of Africa moving towards adopting low or no emissions transport infrastructure.
SDG 7 states that increased use of fossil fuels without actions to mitigate greenhouse gases will have global climate change implications. Energy efficiency and increased use of renewables contribute to climate change mitigation and disaster risk reduction. Vehicle emissions are a major source of tiny particles and nitrogen oxides, both of which contribute to urban air pollution, and cars account for 25% of all energy-related greenhouse gas emissions globally. Poor fuel quality, an aging vehicle fleet, and a lack of mandatory roadworthy emission tests are all contributing to Africa’s rising greenhouse gas emissions, which are expanding at a rate of 7% per year. The global road transport carbon emissions have increased since 2000 as a result of a complex combination of human behavior, economic growth, public policy, and transportation legislation.
In many African cities and most African countries, the transportation sector is the leading source of urban air pollution and energy related greenhouse gas emissions. Millions of secondhand cars, vans, and minibuses transported from Europe, the United States, and Japan to low- and middle-income nations are hampering efforts to mitigate climate change, according to a UNEP report released in 2020. They pollute the air and are frequently engaged in car accidents. Many are of poor quality and would fail roadworthiness tests in exporting countries. Globally, the transportation industry is anticipated to be responsible for roughly 23% of total energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, with the sector developing at a faster rate than most others with emissions expected to double by 2050.
Most African countries rely on used and old automobiles that are mainly outdated in technology, harming the environment significantly, especially when using contaminated fuel. Electric vehicles, on the other hand, are rapidly growing in popularity among the countries that export the most used automobiles. For example, Europe, which primarily exports cars to West and North Africa, has announced internal combustion engine phase-out targets, and a stronger electrification push is expected across Europe to meet its net zero 2050 goal and stronger new 2030 carbon target, while Japan, the largest exporter of used cars to Mozambique and other right-hand-drive countries in Eastern and Southern Africa, has set a 2035 phase-out date for internal combustion engine cars.
While countries across Africa, South Asia, and Latin America are now aware of the consequences of used vehicles and are erecting import barriers to contain them, an outright ban on used vehicle import is not possible in many African countries due to growing consumer demand for cheap used cars, making it difficult for governments to prohibit the import of old cars or impose improved emissions standards even after adopting cleaner fuels. Addressing carbon emissions from the transport industry through adoption of cleaner technologies is one of the steps towards tackling climate change. With the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer, which entered into force on January 1, 2019, the world took an important step toward drastically reducing the production and consumption of powerful greenhouse gasses known as hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and limiting global warming. Only four African countries—Egypt, Morocco, South Africa, and Sudan—have banned the import of old vehicles, with another 25 imposing age limitations ranging from 15 to three years.
Several countries are combining age restrictions with tax measures to raise the cost of importing older vehicles, such as Kenya, which, in addition to limiting the age to eight years, has levied an added tax on older vehicles, raising the whole cost. The used car market has also hampered the development of a dependable manufacturing industry, with African governments failing to persuade manufacturers to invest in assembly plants, owing to a lack of suppliers, distributors, and component makers, as well as a lack of new vehicle demand. SDG 9 calls for construction of new greener infrastructures, retrofitting or reconfiguring existing infrastructure systems and exploiting the potential of smart technologies which can greatly contribute to the reduction of environmental impacts and disaster risks as well as the construction of resilience and the increase of efficiency in the use of natural resources.
Target 9.a thereof seeks to facilitate sustainable and resilient infrastructure development in developing countries through enhanced financial, technological and technical support to African countries, least developed countries, landlocked developing countries and small island developing States. Equally, SDG 17 envisages that stronger partnerships will contribute to environmental protection and sustainable development by mobilizing resources, sharing knowledge, promoting the creation and transfer of environmentally sound technologies, and building capacity. Countries can build on this to move towards cleaner energy and sustainable transport system.
*This article is an extract from the Article “Transitioning from Fossil Fuel-Based Transport to Clean Energy Vehicles in Africa: Challenges and Prospects” by Dr. Kariuki Muigua, PhD, Kenya’s ADR Practitioner of the Year 2021 (Nairobi Legal Awards), ADR Publisher of the Year 2021 and ADR Lifetime Achievement Award 2021 (CIArb Kenya). Dr. Kariuki Muigua is a foremost Environmental Law and Natural Resources Lawyer and Scholar, Sustainable Development Advocate and Conflict Management Expert in Kenya. Dr. Kariuki Muigua is a Senior Lecturer of Environmental Law and Dispute resolution at the University of Nairobi School of Law and The Center for Advanced Studies in Environmental Law and Policy (CASELAP). He has published numerous books and articles on Environmental Law, Environmental Justice Conflict Management, Alternative Dispute Resolution and Sustainable Development. Dr. Muigua is also a Chartered Arbitrator, an Accredited Mediator, the Africa Trustee of the Chartered Institute of Arbitrators and the Managing Partner of Kariuki Muigua & Co. Advocates. Dr. Muigua is recognized among the top 5 leading lawyers and dispute resolution experts in Kenya by the Chambers Global Guide 2022.
References
Muigua, K., “Transitioning from Fossil Fuel-Based Transport to Clean Energy Vehicles in Africa: Challenges and Prospects,” Available at: http://kmco.co.ke/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/ Transitioning-from-Fossil-Fuel-Based-Transport-to-Clean-Energy-Vehicles-in-Africa-Challenges-and-Prospects-Kariuki-muigua.pdf (accessed 5 May 2022).